Showdown Rams @ Bears
- Ryan Porter
- Jan 18
- 3 min read
Rams @ Bears
Spread: Rams −3.5 • Total: ~48.5–49 points — a moderately high-scoring playoff spot with shootout potential despite the cold conditions.
This Divisional Round clash pits the No. 5 Los Angeles Rams against the NFC North champion Chicago Bears for a chance to reach the NFC Championship Game. The Bears pulled off an emotional Wild Card comeback, and the Rams snuck past Carolina in a high-offense battle. Expect volume, weather-adjusted playcalling, and star usage to decide DFS scoring tonight.

Game & Injury Context
Rams
QB Matthew Stafford is confirmed to play today despite a sprained throwing-hand finger sustained in the Wild Card win — he also topped 300 yards and multiple TDs last week.
WR Puka Nacua dominates the Rams’ pass game and led all receivers in targets and touches last week.
The Rams offense leads the league in DVOA this season, with high pass and run efficiency.
Bears
WR Rome Odunze is questionable, and WR DJ Moore’s status could affect Chicago’s passing usage — watch pre-game news.
Bears OL has seen rotation changes at left tackle, but DB C.J. Gardner-Johnson is active after missing the Wild Card.
Soldier Field’s weather is frigid, which could slow down vertical routes and increase reliance on short throws and runs.
Captain / MVP Targets
(Build around these heavy-usage players for DraftKings/FanDuel Showdown)
Top Captain Picks
Puka Nacua (WR, LAR) — Prime engine of the Rams’ passing attack with massive volume and red-zone looks; top DFS anchor tonight.
Matthew Stafford (QB, LAR) — Playoff veteran with big play ceiling and volume passing; pairing him with a Rams WR tightens DFS correlation.
Caleb Williams (QB, CHI) — Bears’ dual-threat signal-caller drives their offense and can score through the air and on the ground — perfect for Captain leverage if you lean home favorites.
Core DFS Plays (Flex / Utility)
High-Ceiling Options
Davante Adams (WR, LAR) — Matchup exploiter and red-zone favorite with Stafford; strong touchdown equity.
Kyren Williams (RB, LAR) — Workhorse back with both rushing and receiving usage — helps stabilize lineups.
DJ Moore (WR, CHI) — Bears’ top receiving threat if active — high target share = high floor.
D’Andre Swift (RB, CHI) — Receiving back with red-zone and check-down utility.
Value / Contrarian Plays
Colston Loveland (TE, CHI) — Bears’ pass-catching tight end with revenue in short fields — excellent cheap pivot.
Luther Burden III (WR, CHI) — Bears’ emerging option with breakout appeal and medium-range targets.
Secondary Rams RB/WR depth — If weather slows vertical passing, these players can pop in short yardage and goal-line touches.
Game Script & DFS Strategy
Weather factor: Chicago’s frigid home conditions may temper deep shots and boost short-to-intermediate passing — run and check-down value spikes.
High total & shootout risk: Experts note the combined offensive depth and recent playoff scoring suggests potential to go over the ~48.5 total.
Stack for correlation: Pairing Stafford + Nacua/Adams or Williams + Moore/Swift/Loveland maximizes correlation and scoring paths.
Workhorse backs matter: RB usage in tough playoff games gives you a safer floor — especially if weather slows passing.
Sample Captain Combos
Captain: Puka Nacua — Matthew Stafford + Davante Adams
Captain: Matthew Stafford — Kyren Williams + DJ Moore
Captain: Caleb Williams — D’Andre Swift + Colston Loveland (contrarian focus)
Final Thoughts
Tonight’s Rams @ Bears Divisional Playoff Showdown is a perfect blend of star usage, weather strategy, and volume leverage. Lean elite skill players and QBs with multi-score upside, stack correlated passers + receivers, and sprinkle in value plays who might see spikes due to weather or coverage focus. With a coveted NFC Championship berth on the line, touchdowns and volume usage will decide both the game and your DFS success.
Good luck — let’s cash those Showdown lineups!
