top of page
Search

Showdown Raiders @ Broncos

Game & Slate Context


  • Spread: Broncos ~-9.5 (at home)

  • Total: ~ 42.5 points

  • Expectation: Denver is favoured to control tempo; Las Vegas may need to play catch-up → creates diverging DFS strategies.


ree

🎯 Roster & Key Player Notes


Here are players worth spotlighting before we dive into DFS strategy:


Broncos side


  • Bo Nix (QB): Has thrown multiple TDs recently and adds rushing upside.

  • J.K. Dobbins (RB): Lead back for Denver; consistent workload.

  • R.J. Harvey (RB/Receiving): Rookie, but getting receiving TDs and involvement.

  • Courtland Sutton (WR): Primary wideout on the Broncos; decent target volume.

  • Troy Franklin (WR):  Mims is out, making him the clear WR2.


Raiders side


  • Geno Smith (QB): Returns from best outing of season, but matchup is tough.

  • Ashton Jeanty (RB): Rookie starter for Vegas; value consideration if game script flips.

  • Brock Bowers (TE): Just returned from injury, big previous week (12 catches, 3 TDs) and now top target.

  • Tre Tucker (WR): With the trade of Jakobi Meyers, Tucker becomes more relevant in the passing game for Vegas.



🧠 DFS Strategy & Build Approach


Captain/MVP Options


Primary safe plays (chalk):


  • Bo Nix — good ceiling via passing + rushing, favourable script.

  • J.K. Dobbins — if the Broncos dominate, he cabins the workload and captures TD equity.


Contrarian/Leverage plays:


  • Brock Bowers — standout return game, mismatches as TE, high upside.

  • Tre Tucker — cheaper route, if Vegas gets behind and passes more, this gives upside.


Flex Pool Targets


For Denver:


  • Courtland Sutton — stable target share, red-zone chances.

  • R.J. Harvey — cheaper RB option with receiving upside, useful if you need salary relief. For Las Vegas:

  • Ashton Jeanty — if Vegas falls behind, his passing volume helps.

  • Geno Smith — risky QB play, but in tournaments could pay if Vegas hits big.


Roster Construction Patterns


Cash game (Safer build):


  • Captain: Bo Nix (or Dobbins)

  • Flex: Sutton, Dobbins/Harvey, Bowers, value plays

  • Emphasize correlation (QB + WR/TE from same team) with safe floor.


GPP build (Tournament):


  • Captain: Bowers or Tucker

  • Flex: Mix of favourites + low-price upside pieces (Harvey, Jeanty)

  • Use Vegas pieces as contrarian leverage since they’ll be lower owned.


Script-Based Insights


  • If Denver leads early → they lean run, control the clock. That favours Denver RBs + DST.

  • If Vegas trails and starts passing aggressively → huge opportunity for Bowers/Tucker.

  • Given low total, defence/ST, turnovers matter a lot: consider the Broncos D/ST or cheaper kicker if needed.



🔮 Final DFS Thoughts


  • Lean heavy towards the Broncos for floor and correlation.

  • Use Raiders for unique upside — target Bowers especially.

  • Salary relief via rookies & value RB/WR gives flexibility.

  • Because total is low, TDs will swing contests more than volume — focus on players with TD upside.


bottom of page