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Showdown Patriots @ Ravens

Patriots @ Ravens


 Spread: Ravens ~−3 • Total: ~48.5 (close, middling scoring) 


This primetime AFC clash pits the 11-3 Patriots — vying for a division title and playoff seed — against the 7-7 Ravens in a must-win for Baltimore’s postseason hopes. Both teams feature dynamic playmakers and contrasting offensive identities, making this a compelling DFS Showdown slate.


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🧠 Injury & Game Context


  • Patriots Defense: Leading tackler LB Robert Spillane is OUT, and several defenders are questionable — weakening New England’s front and second level. 

  • Ravens Defense: All-Pro safety Kyle Hamilton is questionable, while CB Chidobe Awuzie could miss the game, potentially softening Baltimore’s pass D.

  • Quarterbacks: Drake Maye continues to lead the Patriots aerial attack, and Lamar Jackson is expected to play despite a short illness.


This sets up a game script with balanced offensive opportunity — Miami’s run & pass vs. Baltimore’s ground-heavy approach with Derrick Henry — against a Patriots D missing key personnel. 




Captain / MVP Targets


(High-usage, slate-breaking plays)


Captain (1.5× Scoring / Key Usage)


  • Lamar Jackson (QB, BAL) — Elite dual-threat upside in both passing and rushing — strong Captain centerpiece. 

  • Derrick Henry (RB, BAL) — Ground floorbreaker controlling early downs and clock, especially with Patriots’ defensive gaps.

  • Drake Maye (QB, NE) — High floor on volume, plus added rushing potential; ideal if passing has room to explode.




Core Plays (Flex / Utility)


High-Ceiling Options


  • Stefon Diggs (WR, NE) — Maye’s top target with a favorable route share opportunity, especially if Patriots need chunk plays.

  • Hunter Henry (TE, NE) — Reliable red zone and short-field target; sneaky ceiling with Jackson covering deep.

  • Keaton Mitchell (RB, BAL) — Secondary run option with burst and receiving upside — great value flex.


Value / Contrarian Plays


  • Kayshon Boutte (WR, NE) — Boom-bust equity, possible takeaway targets if Ravens’ secondary misses starters.

  • Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, NE) — Receiving back and red zone churner; fits salary-efficient builds.




Game Script & Strategy Notes


  • Balanced Pace, Physical Matchup: Expect Baltimore to lean on Henry and short passes, while New England mixes Maye’s arm with a diversified run game. A close score trend benefits dual-threat QBs and high-usage skill players. 

  • Defense Vulnerabilities: Patriots missing key defenders could open up Ravens’ rushing attack and intermediate passing lanes. Ravens secondary questions elevate DFS pass-catcher value.

  • Stack Value: QB + WR/TE stacks (e.g., Maye + Diggs, Jackson + Henry/Mitchell) are strong given volatility and potential TD opportunities.




Sample Captain Combos


  • Captain: Lamar Jackson — Derrick Henry + Stefon Diggs

  • Captain: Drake Maye — Hunter Henry + Keaton Mitchell

  • Captain: Derrick Henry — Lamar Jackson + Kayshon Boutte (contrarian)


Final Thoughts


This Sunday Night Showdown offers multiple paths to success: dual-threat QBs with rushing bonus, bell-cow RBs controlling the clock, and volatility from pass-catchers in a slightly undermanned defensive context. Lean usage and upside — especially with players who can score both on the ground and through the air — and diversify with contrarian value plays to separate your DFS lineups tonight.


Good luck cashing those Showdown lineups! 🏆



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