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Showdown Bears @ 49ers

Bears @ 49ers (W

 Spread: 49ers ~−3.5 (favorites) • Total: ~51.5 points — expect a high scoring contest with playoff-seeding implications. 


Both teams (11-4) are fighting for home-field and top NFC seed leverage. The Bears clinched the NFC North in Week 16 and are still alive for the No. 1 seed, while the 49ers have won five straight and control their destiny in the West and the top playoff ranking. 


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Injury & Game Flow Notes


🔹 49ers Injury Impact

  • George Kittle (TE) is highly unlikely to play Sunday night, a major offensive concern for San Francisco’s red-zone attack.

  • Ricky Pearsall (WR) is likely to play but remains questionable — watch late news for target upside.


🔸 Bears Injury/Unavailable

  • Rome Odunze (WR) is ruled out — opens target share for other Chicago pass-catchers.

  • DJ Moore & Olamide Zaccheaus are questionable with illness; monitor pre-game statuses for usage risk/reward.


Strong offensive environments and big targets missing elevate volatility and opportunity for under-owned plays tonight. 



Captain / MVP Targets


(High-usage, slate-breaking plays)


Captain Candidates


  • Caleb Williams (QB, CHI) — Plays fast, makes explosive plays, plus cheap rushing floor in Showdown builds. Bears projected to lean aggressive in a shootout scenario.

  • Brock Purdy (QB, SF) — Coming off a huge 5-TD game and matchup aids quick passing with soft coverage and missing pass rush (low sack rates).

  • Christian McCaffrey (RB, SF) — Still the offensive anchor with rushing + receiving upside, especially if the Bears trail. If active, he remains the most stable high-ceiling Captain.




Core DFS Plays (Flex / Utility)

High-Ceiling Plays


  • DJ Moore (WR, CHI) — If active, top Bears receiving equity with Odunze out; elite red-zone and big-play touchdown upside.

  • Luther Burden III (WR, CHI) — Expected to benefit from role expansion and lower defensive leverage on Bears’ pass game.

  • Jauan Jennings (WR, SF) — Likely lead pass option for San Francisco with Kittle out and Pearsall question. 

  • Colston Loveland (TE, CHI) — Bears’ reliable check-down and red-zone target with top receivers banged up.


Value / Contrarian Plays


  • Theo Benedet (OL / Flex, CHI) — Not a typical play but in illnesses to the Bears’ line, Benedet’s involvement could impact snaps differently and create contrarian leverage.

  • Backup 49ers pass-catchers / tight ends — With Kittle out, guys like Robbie Chosen or secondary options could deliver cheaper scoring pops vs. Chicago’s soft coverage.




Game Script & DFS Strategy


  • Projected shootout: The high total (~51.5) and injury-driven offensive reliance forecast efficient drives and scoring opportunities throughout.

  • Pass-friendly setups: Both defenses have leak points against explosive QB play — Williams and Purdy can rack up yards and create big plays.

  • Ownership leverage: Target secondary options on both sides of the ball — especially if Moore or Pearsall are game-time questionable — to differentiate lineups.




Sample Captain Combos


  • Captain: Caleb Williams — DJ Moore + Luther Burden III

  • Captain: Brock Purdy — Jauan Jennings + Colston Loveland

  • Captain: Christian McCaffrey — Purdy + Secondary 49ers WR/TE (contrarian)




Final Thoughts


Tonight’s Bears vs. 49ers Sunday Night Football Showdown has all the makings of a DFS smash spot — high total, key offensive injuries, and big fantasy quarterbacks with upside both through the air and on the ground. Lean into QB and featured pass-catcher usage for your core builds, then sprinkle value plays who could pop in unexpectedly chaotic red-zone or turnover-influenced moments.


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