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Contract Incentives and Milestones

WEEK 18 CONTRACT INCENTIVES


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🔹 High-Probability / Low Threshold


  1. Rico Dowdle

    • Needs 7 scrimmage yards to earn $1M (1,350 total)

    • Needs 1 TD to earn $250K → Extremely likely to clear at least one, possibly both.


  2. Nick Chubb

    • Needs 94 rushing yards for $250K (600 total) → Browns opponent (Texans) in must-win spot; workload risk exists.


  3. Hollywood Brown

    • Needs 102 receiving yards for $625K

    • Needs 1 TD for $750K (2 TDs = +$1M total) → Clear incentive-based ceiling outcome.


🔹 Chargers (Heavy Rest Risk)


  1. Keenan Allen

    • Needs 6 catches for $750K

    • Needs 9 yards for $250K

    • Needs 2 TDs for $250K → Incentives are close, but Week 18 rest risk is very real.



🔹 Titans / Patriots / Bills Starters (Likely Playing)


  1. Stefon Diggs

    • Needs 8 catches for $500K

    • Needs 30 yards for $500K (130 = +$1M total) → Mike Vrabel has said starters will play.


  2. Hunter Henry

    • Needs 5 catches for $250K → Patriots expected to play starters.


  3. Kendrick Bourne

    • Needs 8 catches for $500K

    • Needs 49 yards for $250K


🔹 Bills (Rest Lean, But Incentives Exist)


  1. Dawson Knox

    • Needs 6 catches, 7 yards, or 1 TD

    • Each worth $100K


  2. Ty Johnson

    • Needs 57 receiving yards for $125K

    • Needs 2 TDs for $250K


🔹 Must-Win / High-Leverage Games


  1. Sam Darnold

    • Needs 150 passing yards for $500K

    • Needs 3 TD passes for $500K → Seahawks playing for the division.


  1. Deebo Samuel

    • Needs 10 catches for $650K

    • Needs 93 yards for $450K


  2. Jauan Jennings

    • Needs 9 catches for $666,667 (Clarified as a 2024 escalator, not 2025 incentive)


  1. Jordan Mason

    • Needs 136 rushing yards for $200K → Status uncertain after missing Week 17.


🔹 Longer-Shot / Low DFS Relevance


  1. Tony Pollard – 66 rush yards / 2 TDs


  2. Josh Oliver – 2 TDs


  3. Adam Trautman – 5 catches


  4. Kareem Hunt – 31 scrimmage yards


  5. Samaje Perine – 160 rushing yards


  6. Sterling Shepard – 1 catch / 29 yards (healthy scratch risk)



WEEK 18 STATISTICAL MILESTONES


  1. Bijan Robinson

    • Needs 255 scrimmage yards to break Chris Johnson’s all-time record (2,509)


  2. Christian McCaffrey

    • Needs 110 receiving yards for 1,000/1,000 season

    • 159 yards breaks Marshall Faulk’s RB receiving record


  3. Tetairoa McMillan

    • Needs 80 yards to break Panthers rookie record (Kelvin Benjamin)


  4. Justin Jefferson vs. CeeDee Lamb

    • Battling for most catches in first six seasons (already passed Jarvis Landry)


  5. CeeDee Lamb

    • Needs 48 yards to pass Dez Bryant for 5th in franchise history


  6. Justin Jefferson

    • Needs 53 yards for 1,000 (six straight seasons)


  7. Trey McBride

    • Needs 32 yards to set franchise TE record (Jackie Smith – 1,205)


  8. Cam Ward

    • Needs 222 passing yards to break rookie franchise record (Warren Moon)


  9. Caleb Williams

    • Needs 109 yards to set franchise single-season record

    • 270 yards = first 4,000-yard passer in team history


  10. Ashton Jeanty

    • Needs 112 rushing yards for 1,000

    • Pete Carroll publicly acknowledged chasing it


  11. James Cook

    • Currently leads NFL in rushing

    • Sean McDermott confirmed awareness of rushing-title pursuit









 
 
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